With inflation remaining near 40-year highs, the Federal Reserve has started taking steps to moderate inflationary pressures through the use of the most powerful tool it has—raising interest rates.
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History is rife with the failure of economic sanctions, from the trade and travel embargo on Cuba to sanctions imposed on Russia for its invasion of Crimea in 2014.
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The best opportunity for generating alpha may no longer be found in managing relative exposures around a standard benchmark index, but reside in identifying profound and sustainable technological, demographic, social and economic changes that will lead in a new generation of wealth creation.
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The pandemic exposed one of the weaknesses of “just in time” inventory management and locating manufacturing in cheap, faraway locations. Supply chains were then further stressed by increasing geopolitical tensions with Russia and China—key sources of important commodities and manufactured goods.
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Many investors are attracted to thematic investing because it allows them to invest in strongly held convictions about the future (e.g., artificial intelligence) or according to their values (e.g., decarbonization). In a March 2021 survey, investors reported holding 28% of their portfolios in thematic instruments or strategies, with that share expected to grow to 35% in the 18 months following.
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